Tuesday, 18 April 2017

UKIP Target seats based on the UK General Election result of 2015

Collated by @AndyJSajs Please note taken from 2015 UK General Election and not any subsequent by elections


ConstituencyWinning Party 2015Maj/lead over UKIPSwing Required %Maj/lead over UKIP %Total Votes 2015UKIP position if not 2ndAdditional swing required to overcome intervening parties?
ThurrockCon: 19740.981.9749,5643rd
Thanet SouthCon: 22,8122.855.6949,401
HartlepoolLab: 13,0243.837.6639,490
Boston & SkegnessCon: 34,3365.0010.0043,339
Heywood & MiddletonLab: 25,2995.4610.9248,538
Dagenham & RainhamLab: 34,9805.7811.5743,050
Rochester & StroodCon: 47,1336.7913.5852,516
MansfieldLab: 46,7537.1514.3147,1933rd
Great GrimsbyLab: 54,9977.4114.8133,7313rd
Stoke-on-Trent NorthLab: 65,8877.6115.2338,6543rd
Rother ValleyLab: 77,2977.7615.5247,019
Stoke-on-Trent CentralLab: 85,1798.3316.6631,084
Basildon South & Thurrock EastCon: 57,6918.4316.8745,593
Dudley NorthLab: 96,7728.9117.8237,9923rd
Penistone & StocksbridgeLab: 108,9539.5519.1146,854
Bradford SouthLab: 117,2719.6719.3437,6003rd
Isle of WightCon: 613,7039.7519.4970,300
AshfieldLab: 129,2989.8119.6147,4093rd
Castle PointCon: 78,9349.8319.6645,450
Great YarmouthCon: 88,8199.9219.8344,4693rd
HyndburnLab: 139,04410.5421.0942,8873rdYES
Portsmouth SouthCon: 98,99010.7321.4541,9034th
Bristol SouthLab: 1411,12410.9421.8850,8423rd
West Bromwich WestLab: 157,74211.0522.1035,026
SouthportLD: 19,80211.1122.2344,1014thYES
Newport EastLab: 167,82411.1422.2935,1083rd
RotherhamLab: 178,44611.1722.3337,823
Don ValleyLab: 189,65811.3722.7342,4863rd
WorkingtonLab: 198,74411.3722.7338,4633rd
Stoke-on-Trent SouthLab: 208,96411.4622.9239,1073rdYES
DoverCon: 1011,56011.5123.0250,2243rd
Thanet NorthCon: 1110,94811.6323.2747,053
St Austell & NewquayCon: 1211,74711.6623.3350,3613rd
Walsall NorthLab: 218,66611.7523.5036,8833rdYES
Hornchurch & UpminsterCon: 1313,07411.8323.6755,236
Blyth ValleyLab: 229,22912.0024.0038,461
BurnleyLab: 239,68612.1824.3739,7463rdYES
Sittingbourne & SheppeyCon: 1412,16812.3224.6449,378
Doncaster CentralLab: 2410,09312.4924.9740,420
CaerphillyLab: 2510,07312.5025.0140,283
Folkestone & HytheCon: 1513,79712.5425.0855,010
LlanelliLab: 269,67912.5525.0938,5743rd
BosworthCon: 1613,60112.6925.3853,5824th
Camborne & RedruthCon: 1711,67612.7325.4645,8683rd
RedcarLab: 2710,43012.7425.4940,9193rd
Birmingham YardleyLab: 2810,49212.7525.5041,1513rd
TorfaenLab: 299,73512.8325.6637,9373rd
Rochford & Southend EastCon: 1811,29312.9525.9043,6083rd
Worsley & Eccles SouthLab: 3010,91212.9825.9542,0483rd
Stalybridge & HydeLab: 3110,72713.0726.1441,0343rd
Scarborough & WhitbyCon: 1912,50213.0926.1947,7393rdYES
Bexleyheath & CrayfordCon: 2011,46113.1226.2443,6853rd
EastleighCon: 2114,68113.2226.4555,5053rd
Batley & SpenLab: 3213,37813.2526.5050,4793rdYES
Bridgwater & Somerset WestCon: 2214,58313.3926.7854,447
Bolton South EastLab: 3310,92813.4126.8240,743
Wolverhampton North EastLab: 349,14513.4526.8934,0033rd
Northampton SouthCon: 2310,51213.5227.0338,8843rdYES
Dudley SouthCon: 2410,43413.6527.3138,2103rdYES
Carmarthen East & DinefwrPC: 110,77713.6827.3539,3994th
RochdaleLab: 3512,44213.6927.3945,430
NeathLab: 3610,17613.7027.4037,1353rd
Plymouth Moor ViewCon: 2511,68413.7127.4242,6063rdYES
PontypriddLab: 3710,46913.8227.6437,8823rd
Norfolk South WestCon: 2613,86113.8327.6650,110
Portsmouth NorthCon: 2712,68313.9727.9445,3903rd
Ashton-under-LyneLab: 3810,89814.0028.0038,9183rd
Bolton North EastLab: 3912,09414.0128.0243,1613rdYES
Norfolk NorthLD: 213,85614.0228.0449,4143rdYES
CleethorpesCon: 2812,67014.0528.1045,0893rd
RomfordCon: 2913,85914.0928.1849,178
Birmingham ErdingtonLab: 409,78414.1028.2134,6843rd
GraveshamCon: 3014,17814.1428.2850,1393rd
Gillingham & RainhamCon: 3113,39114.2228.4447,0783rd
Alyn & DeesideLab: 4111,87414.3728.7441,3143rdYES
SpelthorneCon: 3214,15214.4228.8449,079
West Bromwich EastLab: 4210,86814.4928.9937,4923rd
Cardiff South & PenarthLab: 4313,54314.5129.0246,6673rd
DartfordCon: 3315,23614.5329.0752,4183rd
Forest of DeanCon: 3414,39914.5429.0849,5203rd
Swansea WestLab: 4410,22314.5429.0835,1563rd
Hazel GroveCon: 3512,59914.5829.1543,2194th
Wyre ForestCon: 3614,42714.5929.1849,4403rd
StourbridgeCon: 3713,45414.6129.2346,0293rdYES
CanterburyCon: 3815,62914.6229.2353,4653rd
Leicester WestLab: 4510,10114.6329.2634,5223rd
South ShieldsLab: 4610,61414.6329.2736,265
Hull West & HessleLab: 479,33314.6729.3531,803
Hull EastLab: 4810,31914.6829.3635,144
Bishop AucklandLab: 4911,56814.6829.3739,3893rdYES
MakerfieldLab: 5013,15514.6929.3744,788
Devon NorthCon: 3915,37214.6929.3852,3203rdYES
IslwynLab: 5110,40414.6929.3935,401
Cardiff WestLab: 5212,88014.7129.4143,7924th
Clwyd SouthLab: 5310,33814.7429.4835,0643rdYES
Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLab: 5413,24214.7529.5044,8913rd
Sheffield South EastLab: 5512,31114.7729.5341,685
Leeds WestLab: 5611,35214.7729.5438,4233rd
Bognor Regis & LittlehamptonCon: 4013,94414.8029.6047,116
Maidstone & The WealdCon: 4114,81514.8129.6250,0103rd
Bournemouth WestCon: 4212,41014.8529.7141,773
Louth & HorncastleCon: 4314,97714.8829.7550,336
Doncaster NorthLab: 5711,78014.9129.8239,501
Norwich SouthLab: 5814,49414.9529.9148,4635th
Durham North WestLab: 5912,80914.9629.9142,8183rd
Stockton NorthLab: 6011,85514.9829.9639,5713rd
Note: maj / lead figure is an extrapolation when additional swing is required. In these cases the swing required percentage is converted into a majority / lead figure.

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