#GE2015 Forecast (NOV 27th)

most recently on 27 November 2014 at 15:14. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at feedback@electionforecast.co.uk

The following tables focuses on potential seat gains and losses for each of the parties, including only those seats for which the probability of a change of control is estimated at over 10%. If the table is blank, there are currently no such seats.

Conservatives:	Gains	Losses
Labour:	Gains	Losses
Liberal Democrats:	Gains	Losses
SNP:	Gains	Losses
Plaid Cymru:	Gains	Losses
Greens:	Gains	Losses
UKIP:	Gains	Losses

The following table provides the individual seat predictions, aggregated up to England, Scotland and Wales. Please note that these may not exactly match the totals in the main forecast table, as they are based on the individual seat forecasts..

	Con	Lab	LD	SNP	PC	GRN	UKIP	Oth
England	277	227	24	0	0	1	3	1
Scotland	2	22	1	34	0	0	0	0
Wales	7	29	2	0	2	0	0	0

The following table provides the individual seat predictions (columns), aggregated by the party that won the seat at the 2010 general election (rows). Please note that these may not exactly match the totals in the main forecast table, as they are based on the individual seat forecasts..

	Con	Lab	LD	SNP	PC	GRN	UKIP	Oth
2010 Con	273	30	0	0	0	0	3	0
2010 Lab	1	236	0	21	0	0	0	0
2010 LD	12	11	27	7	0	0	0	0
2010 SNP	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
2010 PC	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0
2010 GRN	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
2010 UKIP	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2010 Oth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

 

Party	Lo	Seats	Hi	Swing
Conservatives	242	285	325	-21
Labour	238	280	321	22
Liberal Democrats	18	27	38	-30
SNP	23	32	42	26
Plaid Cymru	1	2	4	-1
Greens	0	1	2	0
UKIP	1	4	9	4
Other	1	1	1	0